Perugia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
TAR
0 - 1
PRG
45%
32%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
BOL
45%
31%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
39%
31%
31%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
CES
1 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
GEN
2 - 2
CES
64%
25%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
EMP
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
CES
49%
30%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |