Perugia U17 vs Ascoli U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
8º
22
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PER
1 - 6
ROM
6%
11%
84%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LCC
2 - 3
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
SAL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REG
4 - 1
PER
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASC
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
REG
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
LAZ
8%
14%
79%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 1
ASC
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |