Perth Glory vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
PER
0 - 1
SYD
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 6
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PAP
5 - 1
SFC
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 3
SFC
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 3
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 3
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SYD
2 - 3
SFC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |