Perth Glory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
8º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SYD
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
6 - 1
MFC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
MCI
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WES
1 - 1
MCI
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
WUF
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +2 |