Persilat vs Persita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
77.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
PER
1 - 3
MAD
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |