Piala Indonesia . Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
PPSM Magelang vs Persiba Bantul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PPSM Magelang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
PPS
3 - 1
PRS
14%
19%
67%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
PRS
2 - 1
PPS
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
PPS
70%
17%
12%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PPS
1 - 0
PSI
53%
22%
25%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PSI
2 - 2
PPS
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Persiba Bantul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
PEM
0 - 0
PER
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
PEM
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
PER
2 - 1
AML
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
AML
2 - 1
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PEK
1 - 0
PER
10%
17%
74%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | -2 |