Perre vs Castelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
PER
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
COU
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
5 - 1
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 3
AAR
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NEV
5 - 0
PER
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Castelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAM
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 0
MLI
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
COU
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |