A Peroxa CF vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
68%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Peroxa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ATO
4 - 0
APE
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
APE
1 - 2
PON
15%
23%
62%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
APE
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
APE
0 - 3
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
APE
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
RIB
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VER
2 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |