Perly-Certoux vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAV
2 - 3
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCO
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TER
3 - 1
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
SER
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
0 - 0
BAV
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
3 - 2
BEX
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
0 - 2
TER
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SER
5 - 0
BEX
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |