Perlen-Buchrain vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
10º
32
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 5
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 4
PER
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
PER
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PER
4 - 3
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCS
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 0
FCS
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCG
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 2
FCS
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |