Pergocrema vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
PER
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
USC
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
PER
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
PER
0 - 1
ACM
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 2
RAV
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 2
LEC
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 0
USC
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |