Penycae FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
LLA
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 3
GUI
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAE
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
FLI
0 - 0
PEN
68%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 2
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
7 - 1
RHA
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
10 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 5
CEF
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
CEF
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |