Penybont vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
3º
24
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
10 - 0
BRI
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
TNS
25%
22%
52%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
FLI
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
FLI
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
FLI
18%
21%
62%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
FLI
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
FLI
9%
17%
74%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |