Penybont vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 3
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |