Penya Encarnada vs Engordany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
22
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
22%
42%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
SCO
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
INT
8 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
UES
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Engordany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UEE
0 - 3
FCO
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
6 - 0
UEE
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
UEE
0 - 4
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UES
2 - 1
UEE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UEE
4 - 0
SJU
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |