Penya Ciutadella vs UD Mahón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
PCE
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PCE
2 - 1
ATL
77%
13%
9%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 3
PCE
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SDM
1 - 2
PCE
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 5
SDM
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UDM
3 - 1
ADC
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 6
UDM
5%
13%
82%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 3
PCE
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 2
MER
34%
25%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |