Penrith AFC vs Whickham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 2
PEN
67%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
SEA
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
PEN
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
PEN
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 2
RAF
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Whickham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WHI
0 - 0
WHI
48%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
WHI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
WHI
3 - 2
ASH
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CCF
3 - 1
WHI
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 2
WHI
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |