Penrhyncoch FC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
PEN
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LLA
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
7 - 1
MOL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
PEN
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
4 - 0
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
3 - 1
ABE
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
ABE
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |