Penistone Church vs Thackley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penistone Church
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATH
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
PEN
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SHC
3 - 1
PEN
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thackley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
THA
3 - 0
ATH
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ECC
2 - 1
THA
82%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
THA
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THA
0 - 4
GAR
18%
17%
65%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
4 - 0
THA
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |