Peninsula Power vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 4
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
ALB
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 2
PEN
20%
21%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
IPS
0 - 2
QUE
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
IPS
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 2
IPS
48%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 1
ROC
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |