Peñarol vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 3
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
REN
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
PEÑ
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAC
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SUD
3 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ETS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |