Conmebol Sudamericana . Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Peñarol vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 1
PEÑ
29%
28%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 3
PEÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 1
SPC
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |