Peñarol vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
VAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
PEÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOC
3 - 1
PEÑ
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLO
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
SLO
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 0
SLO
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 4
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |