Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
DAN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
PEÑ
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ETS
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 0
PEÑ
20%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 1
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 3
MWA
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
MWA
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 3
BOC
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |