Peñarol vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 2
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 0
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ETS
2 - 3
CER
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |