Peñarol vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
CCP
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
CCP
40%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
CCP
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |