Penapolense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OES
2 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
LIN
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 4
SAO
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
ITU
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |