Penapolense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 3
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 1
GRÊ
19%
20%
61%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
AUD
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |