Paulista A3 Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Penapolense vs Olímpia FC analysis

Penapolense Olímpia FC
42 ELO 44
-10.9% Tilt -1.5%
21149º General ELO ranking 7615º
548º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Penapolense
24.9%
Draw
30.4%
Olímpia FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Penapolense
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
Olímpia FC
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penapolense
+3%
-9%
Olímpia FC

ELO progression

Penapolense
Olímpia FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penapolense
Penapolense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marília
2 - 0
Penapolense
PEN
64%
21%
16%
45 52 7 0
10 Mar. 2021
PEN
Penapolense
1 - 1
Rio Preto
RIO
48%
25%
28%
45 42 3 0
07 Mar. 2021
BAR
Barretos
2 - 0
Penapolense
PEN
45%
24%
31%
46 47 1 -1
30 Aug. 2020
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
2 - 1
Penapolense
PEN
68%
20%
12%
46 59 13 0
25 Aug. 2020
PEN
Penapolense
1 - 2
RB Brasil
RBB
21%
24%
55%
47 59 12 -1

Matches

Olímpia FC
Olímpia FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
OLI
Olímpia FC
0 - 0
Desportivo Brasil
DES
34%
26%
41%
42 48 6 0
10 Mar. 2021
COM
Comercial
0 - 0
Olímpia FC
OLI
68%
20%
12%
42 55 13 0
06 Mar. 2021
OLI
Olímpia FC
2 - 3
Nacional SP
NAC
41%
25%
34%
43 45 2 -1
10 Oct. 2020
DES
Desportivo Brasil
1 - 0
Olímpia FC
OLI
53%
22%
24%
43 47 4 0
03 Oct. 2020
OLI
Olímpia FC
0 - 3
Comercial
COM
25%
25%
50%
44 54 10 -1
X