Penalva Castelo vs Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
MOR
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
OFR
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FAV
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 4
PEN
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ANA
2 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
IDE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
ACA
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
ADN
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |