Penafiel vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
PEN
4 - 3
MAI
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
GFC
1 - 0
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
UNM
2 - 0
NAV
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
UNM
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
UNM
0 - 1
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |