Penafiel vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
AVE
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PEN
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCF
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 1
POR
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
SAN
41%
30%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 1
OLH
50%
28%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLH
3 - 1
LEX
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
OLH
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |