Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 2
PEN
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
IMO
0 - 2
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAR
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
DSA
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
BMA
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
PAÇ
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAÇ
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |