Penafiel vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
PEN
7%
16%
77%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FAM
5 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
PEN
13%
23%
64%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
8%
19%
73%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 0
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
MAF
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 3
MAF
47%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |