Penafiel vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UNM
2 - 0
PEN
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 3
PEN
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
OVA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
VIL
2 - 1
LOU
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
LOU
3 - 1
SIN
60%
20%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 1
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
LOU
1 - 3
SLB
4%
16%
80%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LOU
3 - 1
VST
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +3 |