Penafiel vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEN
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
TIR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
BMA
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
LEX
0 - 2
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
0 - 0
LEX
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEX
2 - 0
SAC
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
5 - 1
LEX
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 0
TRO
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |