Penafiel vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
4 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ACA
0 - 0
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 1
IMO
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 1
BMA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
MOR
1 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CHA
2 - 1
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 2
FEL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |