Penafiel vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
BRA
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
VSC
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 2
BEN
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
TON
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |