Peñacastillo vs CD Valdáliga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OFC
1 - 2
PEÑ
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SJU
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SDR
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 1
PEÑ
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Valdáliga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDV
1 - 2
ATM
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
ASR
1 - 2
CDV
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDV
6 - 2
RIO
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 0
CDV
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CDV
1 - 0
MFC
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |