Peñacastillo vs Nueva Montaña B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MFC
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
JDM
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TCD
3 - 0
PEÑ
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
5 - 0
PEÑ
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Montaña B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NMB
2 - 0
FOC
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LIE
4 - 0
NMB
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NMB
2 - 0
SSD
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
1 - 2
NMB
33%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NMB
4 - 0
OFC
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |