Copa Gaúcha 1ª Fase. Jor. 4

Pelotas vs São Borja analysis

Pelotas São Borja
45 ELO 26
-16.5% Tilt -20.5%
5365º General ELO ranking 40406º
214º Country ELO ranking 1116º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Pelotas
21%
Draw
16.1%
São Borja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
Pelotas
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.1%
Win probability
São Borja
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pelotas
-12%
+10%
São Borja

ELO progression

Pelotas
São Borja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pelotas
Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
3 - 0
Real SC
RSC
67%
20%
13%
44 24 20 0
30 Jul. 2023
MON
Monsoon
2 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
36%
25%
38%
46 43 3 -2
23 Jul. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 0
Monsoon
MON
39%
25%
36%
45 44 1 +1
16 Jul. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 0
Santa Cruz RS
SAN
33%
26%
42%
44 47 3 +1
09 Jul. 2023
ISM
Inter Santa Maria
0 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
34%
27%
39%
44 39 5 0

Matches

São Borja
São Borja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
RSC
Real SC
1 - 1
São Borja
BOR
31%
22%
47%
27 24 3 0
25 Jun. 2023
BOR
São Borja
0 - 2
Grêmio B
GRE
13%
19%
68%
28 46 18 -1
22 Jun. 2023
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
3 - 2
São Borja
BOR
66%
20%
15%
29 48 19 -1
11 Sep. 2022
MON
Monsoon
2 - 0
São Borja
BOR
39%
22%
38%
30 28 2 -1
04 Sep. 2022
BOR
São Borja
1 - 1
Monsoon
MON
37%
24%
40%
30 28 2 0
X