Pelotas vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PEL
4 - 1
ECA
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
PEL
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PEL
2 - 1
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 0
PEL
34%
27%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SGA
0 - 0
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SGA
1 - 0
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ECA
3 - 2
SGA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 2
ECA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
SGA
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |