Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
PEL
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 0
PEL
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
2 - 0
PEL
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
PEL
0 - 2
SGA
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
PEL
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECA
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |