Pelli Santacroce vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
PEL
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 0
ASS
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
PEL
67%
19%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PEL
72%
19%
10%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PIS
19%
27%
54%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEZ
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEZ
1 - 4
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
MEZ
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MEZ
1 - 0
ROS
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |