Pelister vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
9º
7º
34
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RAB
2 - 1
PEL
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 2
AKP
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
4 - 1
PEL
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 3
VAR
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SHK
0 - 1
PEL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIK
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TIK
0 - 1
SHK
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
SIL
1 - 1
TIK
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
GOS
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |