Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-7
Pelister vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
LPO
4 - 0
PEL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 1
PEL
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 3
VAR
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SIL
3 - 3
PEL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SHK
0 - 0
PEL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
LPO
4 - 0
PEL
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
LPO
3 - 0
HBS
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LPO
2 - 1
WIS
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LPO
0 - 0
GDA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |