Pelikaan vs 't Fean '58 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+727%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
24
12º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 2
PEL
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
PKC
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
PEL
36%
22%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
PEL
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 1
ONS
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 4
WIN
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
TFE
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
VVG
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TFE
4 - 1
FVC
8%
13%
79%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |