PEL vs PMC Athletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 2
WAP
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
KRL
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
NAT
3 - 1
PEL
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
HAB
2 - 0
PEL
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
SSG
0 - 0
PEL
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PMC Athletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
PMC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
AFG
3 - 0
PMC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
PAP
1 - 0
PMC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 0
PMC
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
AFG
0 - 1
PMC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |