Pego vs Portuarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
GOR
4 - 1
PEG
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PEG
0 - 2
ALT
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
PEG
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PEG
2 - 1
RAC
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DAI
0 - 1
PEG
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
ALF
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CFB
0 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
BEN
33%
25%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
POL
3 - 1
POR
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
XER
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |