Pego vs CD Llosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 0
OLI
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 2
CDA
52%
25%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDC
2 - 2
PEG
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEG
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CTS
3 - 1
PEG
42%
26%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Llosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLO
0 - 1
DEN
13%
21%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDA
3 - 2
LLO
45%
25%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
LLO
0 - 2
UDC
16%
23%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
LLO
36%
26%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LLO
1 - 1
UDC
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |